Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1227.872150 1387.981161 1563.600256 1770.938677 2009.559459 2276.187116 2597.522097
2025-12-14 948.643111 1155.859947 1403.007969 1721.203034 2122.434409 2614.747217 3269.428930
2025-12-21 787.141795 1007.267344 1284.702520 1663.219170 2171.098557 2835.910251 3783.403664
2025-12-28 716.184074 954.668379 1269.462285 1720.597593 2359.043166 3243.063177 4582.283695
2026-01-04 651.426144 898.700108 1238.105418 1745.375571 2497.032849 3590.068211 5337.642112
2026-01-11 595.564146 846.669557 1203.358131 1756.649752 2610.850471 3909.082177 6089.275983
2026-01-18 548.421171 800.918475 1170.828467 1764.309923 2715.599450 4221.488878 6868.917233
2026-01-25 517.572456 775.338950 1164.188543 1808.484595 2879.212834 4642.499072 7884.722979
2026-02-01 487.570508 747.579819 1150.492061 1838.256003 3020.279892 5040.314085 8915.761115
2026-02-08 458.347312 717.954003 1130.330152 1853.955735 3137.255695 5408.135502 9944.008220
2026-02-15 433.351538 692.632146 1114.261025 1873.834313 3261.998830 5802.428412 11079.660866
2026-02-22 414.029982 674.774292 1108.527485 1910.224411 3419.199509 6273.884921 12439.975653
2026-03-01 380.990066 631.670631 1057.129514 1861.578618 3416.080503 6445.822716 13225.369635
2026-03-08 350.713494 590.995282 1006.642631 1809.768743 3401.341138 6593.751170 13986.773714
2026-03-15 322.168532 551.061641 954.015571 1748.402722 3360.015694 6680.680406 14623.485937
2026-03-22 313.739102 546.326205 964.497709 1809.091059 3571.988452 7325.423418 16667.496975
2026-03-29 301.244590 533.108779 958.005654 1835.301702 3714.728757 7838.891454 18489.566085
2026-04-05 287.938707 517.309493 945.212729 1847.228642 3827.761196 8300.408872 20267.079073
2026-04-12 275.229365 501.650802 931.333444 1855.332618 3932.928889 8757.477295 22120.394666
2026-04-19 267.802442 495.555206 935.611421 1902.071252 4130.716961 9462.612755 24791.788453
2026-04-26 259.177086 486.443146 933.044161 1933.575021 4296.701595 10113.357851 27446.363322
2026-05-03 249.599165 474.726080 924.194731 1950.189703 4429.006060 10697.750787 30030.954781
2026-05-10 241.072759 464.515382 917.626816 1971.228141 4574.558163 11338.067827 32929.040577